Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
49.35 – 253.67
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
72 – 365
Prediction correct · off by 67 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 58.93Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33Event APEX 11.49Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -21.07Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.3 ±11.1
Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 140.73Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 99Event APEX 60.19Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 52.75Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8423, 8285, 10664
32
/ 100 compatProjected
49.4 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8423, 8285, 10664
Auto
8.8 19%
Teleop
29.0 63%
Endgame
8.4 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7220, 9756, 6081
84
/ 100 compatProjected
253.7 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7220, 9756, 6081
Auto
66.2 26%
Teleop
124.0 49%
Endgame
60.8 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score49.4pts
Blue projected score253.7pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -204.3
- Score range
- 20–283
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
200.9Season APEX455.3
8.8Auto66.2
29Teleop124
8.4Endgame60.8
79Consistency45
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 73 |
| teleop | 29 | 244 |
| endgame | 34 | 48 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 72 | 365 |
Result
Final score
72 – 365
Prediction correct · off by 67 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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