FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.85 – 208.89

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

112 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.1 ±13.3

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 13.8Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 16.67Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 65.38Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.3 ±11.7

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX -9.42Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 188.52Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 29.79Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5256, 7808, 5980

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5256, 7808, 5980

Auto

5.2 5%

Teleop

60.9 64%

Endgame

29.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9671, 3620, 7809

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9671, 3620, 7809

Auto

41.9 20%

Teleop

116.6 55%

Endgame

55.2 26%

Strengths

· 3620 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.9pts

Blue projected score208.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113
Score range: 67–238
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 160.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.1Season APEX352.3

5.2Auto41.9

60.9Teleop116.6

29.5Endgame55.2

29Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	20
teleop	50	179
endgame	52	74
foul	0	0
total	112	273

Result

Final score

112 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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