Qualification · Qualification 5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
187.96 – 326.68
15%85%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
160 – 398
Prediction correct · off by 49.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 356.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 41.2Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 129.43Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 17.33Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 422.6 ±10.7
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 121.35Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 172.79Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 32.54Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4325, 2075, 7221
67
/ 100 compatProjected
188 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4325, 2075, 7221
Auto
39.5 21%
Teleop
100.1 54%
Endgame
45.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4967, 10633, 9638
83
/ 100 compatProjected
326.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4967, 10633, 9638
Auto
72.4 23%
Teleop
176.3 55%
Endgame
72.4 23%
Strengths
- · 10633 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score188pts
Blue projected score326.7pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -138.7
- Score range
- 157–358
- Upset likelihood
- 15%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
356.3Season APEX422.6
39.5Auto72.4
100.1Teleop176.3
45.7Endgame72.4
14Consistency3
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 82 |
| teleop | 63 | 224 |
| endgame | 49 | 92 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 160 | 398 |
Result
Final score
160 – 398
Prediction correct · off by 49.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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