FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

270.95 – 28.72

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

220 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.3 ±10.5

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 9.22Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 134.82Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 126.91Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 151.2 ±13.9

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX -7.34Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 27.46Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 8.6Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10642, 3875, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

271 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10642, 3875, 1023

Auto

50.6 19%

Teleop

153.4 57%

Endgame

65.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11399, 9638, 7818

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11399, 9638, 7818

Auto

6.5 24%

Teleop

8.9 33%

Endgame

11.4 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score271pts

Blue projected score28.7pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 242.2
Score range: 0–300
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 160.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

432.3Season APEX151.2

50.6Auto6.5

153.4Teleop8.9

65.1Endgame11.4

21Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	7
teleop	132	3
endgame	53	21
foul	0	0
total	220	31

Result

Final score

220 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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