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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

366.52102.32

96%4%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

386122

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 131.61Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 109.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 125.55Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 27.85Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 17.09Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 57.38Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 858, 5166, 4967
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
366.5 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 858, 5166, 4967
Auto
65.7 18%
Teleop
217.7 60%
Endgame
82.1 22%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9208, 9206, 4325
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
102.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9208, 9206, 4325
Auto
25.0 24%
Teleop
56.7 55%
Endgame
20.5 20%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score366.5pts
Blue projected score102.3pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
264.2
Score range
73396
Upset likelihood
4%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 508 vs event baseline 159.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414.5Season APEX199.2
65.7Auto25
217.7Teleop56.7
82.1Endgame20.5
51Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7615
teleop21253
endgame9854
foul00
total386122

Result

Final score

386122

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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