Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
366.52 – 102.32
96%4%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
386 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 131.61Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 109.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 125.55Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 27.85Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 17.09Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 57.38Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 858, 5166, 4967
80
/ 100 compatProjected
366.5 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 858, 5166, 4967
Auto
65.7 18%
Teleop
217.7 60%
Endgame
82.1 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9208, 9206, 4325
50
/ 100 compatProjected
102.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9208, 9206, 4325
Auto
25.0 24%
Teleop
56.7 55%
Endgame
20.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score366.5pts
Blue projected score102.3pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 264.2
- Score range
- 73–396
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
414.5Season APEX199.2
65.7Auto25
217.7Teleop56.7
82.1Endgame20.5
51Consistency45
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 76 | 15 |
| teleop | 212 | 53 |
| endgame | 98 | 54 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 386 | 122 |
Result
Final score
386 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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