FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.32 – 221.3

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.5 ±13.3

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 3.42Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7221Viking Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 16Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 34.9Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.1 ±11.1

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 16.46Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 174.84Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 30Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3234, 7221, 9685

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3234, 7221, 9685

Auto

33.0 68%

Teleop

13.3 27%

Endgame

2.1 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9566, 10633, 10181

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9566, 10633, 10181

Auto

39.9 18%

Teleop

100.3 46%

Endgame

75.5 35%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.3pts

Blue projected score221.3pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -167
Score range: 25–250
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 158.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

170.5Season APEX308.1

33Auto39.9

13.3Teleop100.3

2.1Endgame75.5

61Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	70
teleop	1	141
endgame	30	55
foul	0	0
total	63	266

Result

Final score

63 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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