FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.42 – 205.81

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 16.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.7 ±13.3

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -15.51Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 19.05Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 99.88Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.6 ±11.7

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 58.31Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 96.53Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 50.97Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10664, 7808, 2771

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10664, 7808, 2771

Auto

-5.9 0%

Teleop

75.1 72%

Endgame

34.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9756, 2075, 7289

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9756, 2075, 7289

Auto

61.3 30%

Teleop

84.1 41%

Endgame

57.3 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.4pts

Blue projected score205.8pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.4
Score range: 74–235
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 159.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.7Season APEX392.6

-5.9Auto61.3

75.1Teleop84.1

34.4Endgame57.3

69Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	25
teleop	22	127
endgame	45	64
foul	5	0
total	81	216

Result

Final score

81 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 16.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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