FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.99 – 149.52

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 72.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.2 ±12.7

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 2.39Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 92.22Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 24.38Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226 ±12.8

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 141.1Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 0.89Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX 7.53Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9671, 7656, 5256

/ 100 compat

Projected

119 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9671, 7656, 5256

Auto

20.1 16%

Teleop

68.4 56%

Endgame

33.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3875, 11399, 904

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3875, 11399, 904

Auto

21.7 15%

Teleop

79.8 53%

Endgame

48.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119pts

Blue projected score149.5pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.5
Score range: 90–179
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 124 vs event baseline 161.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.2Season APEX226

20.1Auto21.7

68.4Teleop79.8

33.6Endgame48.1

60Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	22
teleop	15	64
endgame	5	8
foul	0	0
total	30	94

Result

Final score

30 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 72.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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