FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

204.85 – 80.36

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

203 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 3.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 303.7 ±11.7

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 60.64Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 128.59Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 15.62Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.1 ±13.3

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -11.87Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 25.27Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 66.96Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8423, 4967, 9206

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8423, 4967, 9206

Auto

33.9 16%

Teleop

130.1 62%

Endgame

46.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7256, 9638, 5980

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7256, 9638, 5980

Auto

22.4 29%

Teleop

40.7 52%

Endgame

15.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score204.9pts

Blue projected score80.4pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.5
Score range: 51–234
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 161.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

303.7Season APEX198.1

33.9Auto22.4

130.1Teleop40.7

46.8Endgame15.4

16Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	14
teleop	140	52
endgame	44	5
foul	0	15
total	203	86

Result

Final score

203 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 3.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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