FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

140.69 – 228.09

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

211 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.2 ±11

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -2.05Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 121.98Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 20.76Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.3 ±11.7

7221Viking Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 2.21Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 131.25Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 94.63Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10642, 858, 8767

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10642, 858, 8767

Auto

27.9 20%

Teleop

71.5 51%

Endgame

40.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7221, 7220, 2771

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7221, 7220, 2771

Auto

37.3 17%

Teleop

135.1 60%

Endgame

52.3 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.7pts

Blue projected score228.1pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.4
Score range: 113–256
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 513 vs event baseline 158.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.2Season APEX427.3

27.9Auto37.3

71.5Teleop135.1

40.4Endgame52.3

71Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	43
teleop	90	191
endgame	69	68
foul	10	0
total	211	302

Result

Final score

211 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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