FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.44 – 141.94

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.4 ±11.7

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 193.35Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -5.86Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 55.95Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.2 ±12.4

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 131.15Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 7.54Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 3.25Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3620, 7658, 6081

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3620, 7658, 6081

Auto

49.8 20%

Teleop

138.1 56%

Endgame

56.6 23%

Strengths

· 3620 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1023, 3234, 9549

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1023, 3234, 9549

Auto

29.7 21%

Teleop

89.1 63%

Endgame

22.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score243.4pts

Blue projected score141.9pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.5
Score range: 114–271
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 158.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.4Season APEX327.2

49.8Auto29.7

138.1Teleop89.1

56.6Endgame22.1

115Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	50
teleop	89	52
endgame	61	3
foul	0	0
total	222	105

Result

Final score

222 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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