FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

154.2 – 126.44

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

133 – 197

Prediction missed · off by 45.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187 ±12.7

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 58.56Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 56.49Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 39.15Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.3 ±11.1

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 19.11Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 18.92Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 88.41Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4325, 7289, 9685

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4325, 7289, 9685

Auto

54.6 36%

Teleop

60.7 40%

Endgame

35.2 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9208, 10181, 2075

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9208, 10181, 2075

Auto

44.5 35%

Teleop

39.9 32%

Endgame

42.0 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score154.2pts

Blue projected score126.4pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.8
Score range: 98–182
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 157.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187Season APEX375.3

54.6Auto44.5

60.7Teleop39.9

35.2Endgame42

44Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	45
teleop	31	110
endgame	34	42
foul	15	0
total	133	197

Result

Final score

133 – 197

Prediction missed · off by 45.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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