FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

143.46 – 94.78

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.1 ±12.8

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 18.47Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 17.66Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 107.33Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.7 ±12.2

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 27.98Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 7.91Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 58.89Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7808, 9549, 3875

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7808, 9549, 3875

Auto

21.7 15%

Teleop

80.6 57%

Endgame

39.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8767, 7818, 5980

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8767, 7818, 5980

Auto

16.6 19%

Teleop

46.1 52%

Endgame

26.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.5pts

Blue projected score94.8pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48.7
Score range: 64–174
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 172.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.1Season APEX196.7

21.7Auto16.6

80.6Teleop46.1

39Endgame26.1

38Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	10
teleop	83	38
endgame	47	20
foul	0	0
total	139	68

Result

Final score

139 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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