FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.95 – 130.87

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 24.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.4 ±13.3

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -20.93Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX 2.22Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 48.66Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.2 ±12.4

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 102.03Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8285Bionic Bulldogs

Season APEX 33Event APEX 13.6Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 15.24Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10664, 904, 9756

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10664, 904, 9756

Auto

22.4 76%

Teleop

9.3 32%

Endgame

-2.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5166, 8285, 7808

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5166, 8285, 7808

Auto

4.2 3%

Teleop

89.7 72%

Endgame

30.5 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score29.9pts

Blue projected score130.9pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -100.9
Score range: 1–160
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 159.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

189.4Season APEX244.2

22.4Auto4.2

9.3Teleop89.7

-2.3Endgame30.5

91Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	28
teleop	30	63
endgame	22	39
foul	0	5
total	74	135

Result

Final score

74 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 24.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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