FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.89 – 82.93

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

97 – 52

Prediction missed · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.9 ±13.3

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 12.42Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 63.19Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 7.28Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179 ±12.7

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 47.35Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 26.65Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 8.93Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9206, 5980, 3234

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9206, 5980, 3234

Auto

5.2 6%

Teleop

65.3 80%

Endgame

10.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9685, 10181, 9549

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9685, 10181, 9549

Auto

30.3 39%

Teleop

17.7 22%

Endgame

30.7 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.9pts

Blue projected score82.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 53–113
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 164.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

183.9Season APEX179

5.2Auto30.3

65.3Teleop17.7

10.9Endgame30.7

43Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	29
teleop	70	3
endgame	16	20
foul	0	0
total	97	52

Result

Final score

97 – 52

Prediction missed · off by 22.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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