FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.62 – 231.39

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

230 – 190

Prediction missed · off by 54.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.8 ±12.7

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX -5.85Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 86.03Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 81.44Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.4 ±11.7

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 67.27Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 140.53Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 23.59Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7818, 2771, 7656

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7818, 2771, 7656

Auto

27.2 17%

Teleop

101.1 63%

Endgame

31.8 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4325, 1023, 5256

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4325, 1023, 5256

Auto

32.5 14%

Teleop

149.5 64%

Endgame

52.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.6pts

Blue projected score231.4pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.8
Score range: 133–260
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 162.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.8Season APEX362.4

27.2Auto32.5

101.1Teleop149.5

31.8Endgame52.7

83Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	49
teleop	123	107
endgame	93	34
foul	5	0
total	230	190

Result

Final score

230 – 190

Prediction missed · off by 54.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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