FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

451.38 – 185.57

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

371 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 736.6 ±8.7

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 141.99Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 205.87Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 103.52Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.5 ±11.6

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 26.29Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 20.44Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 138.84Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7220, 3620, 2075

/ 100 compat

Projected

451.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7220, 3620, 2075

Auto

89.5 20%

Teleop

262.6 58%

Endgame

97.4 22%

Strengths

· 3620 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9208, 9566, 3875

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9208, 9566, 3875

Auto

33.8 18%

Teleop

102.2 55%

Endgame

51.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.72 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score451.4pts

Blue projected score185.6pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 265.8
Score range: 157–480
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 531 vs event baseline 159.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

736.6Season APEX283.5

89.5Auto33.8

262.6Teleop102.2

97.4Endgame51.2

56Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	33
teleop	171	69
endgame	96	53
foul	0	5
total	371	160

Result

Final score

371 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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