FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.19 – 158.94

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

145 – 74

Prediction missed · off by 56.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.5 ±13.3

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 8.77Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 56.2Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 52.22Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.9 ±11.7

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 139.63Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 21.39Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -2.08Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7808, 6081, 7289

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7808, 6081, 7289

Auto

22.4 21%

Teleop

33.3 31%

Endgame

52.0 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4967, 10642, 7256

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4967, 10642, 7256

Auto

21.4 14%

Teleop

79.7 50%

Endgame

57.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.2pts

Blue projected score158.9pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.7
Score range: 88–188
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 161.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

209.5Season APEX244.9

22.4Auto21.4

33.3Teleop79.7

52Endgame57.1

64Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	50
teleop	63	13
endgame	35	11
foul	0	0
total	145	74

Result

Final score

145 – 74

Prediction missed · off by 56.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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