FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 204.95

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 168.4 ±13.3

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -29.61Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 9.6Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -7.27Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 371.2 ±10.5

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 24.38Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 85.14Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 95.43Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10664, 9566, 3234

/ 100 compat

Projected

-27.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10664, 9566, 3234

Auto

1.3 0%

Teleop

-18.4 55%

Endgame

-16.4 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8767, 2771, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

205 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8767, 2771, 5166

Auto

25.3 12%

Teleop

129.1 63%

Endgame

51.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-27.3pts

Blue projected score205pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -204.9
Score range: -29–234
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 161.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

168.4Season APEX371.2

1.3Auto25.3

-18.4Teleop129.1

-16.4Endgame51.7

112Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	28
teleop	16	133
endgame	18	28
foul	0	5
total	46	194

Result

Final score

46 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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