FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.39 – 105.8

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.8 ±13.3

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 30.61Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 43.07Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 13.71Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207 ±12.7

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -5.51Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 89.49Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 21.82Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7809, 9208, 3234

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7809, 9208, 3234

Auto

21.8 25%

Teleop

42.1 48%

Endgame

23.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10642, 7656, 9206

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10642, 7656, 9206

Auto

5.7 5%

Teleop

67.7 65%

Endgame

31.3 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.4pts

Blue projected score105.8pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.4
Score range: 56–137
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 172.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166.8Season APEX207

21.8Auto5.7

42.1Teleop67.7

23.4Endgame31.3

54Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	6
teleop	19	85
endgame	5	63
foul	0	0
total	40	154

Result

Final score

40 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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