FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

295.8 – 121.16

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

333 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 26 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.5 ±11.7

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 26.92Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 71.59Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 197.29Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.3 ±11.7

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX -6.42Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 141.08Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX -13.5Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9638, 7656, 3620

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9638, 7656, 3620

Auto

48.3 16%

Teleop

194.3 65%

Endgame

54.7 18%

Strengths

· 3620 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9671, 7220, 7818

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9671, 7220, 7818

Auto

34.4 29%

Teleop

62.6 54%

Endgame

19.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score295.8pts

Blue projected score121.2pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174.6
Score range: 92–325
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 158.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.5Season APEX342.3

48.3Auto34.4

194.3Teleop62.6

54.7Endgame19.9

118Consistency144

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	49
teleop	187	63
endgame	74	24
foul	0	0
total	333	136

Result

Final score

333 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 26 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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