FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

237.35 – 248.76

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 216

Prediction missed · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 462.4 ±11.2

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 89.49Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 17.43Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 130.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.6 ±11.7

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 64.68Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 143.4Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 40.68Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2075, 5256, 3875

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2075, 5256, 3875

Auto

40.2 17%

Teleop

125.8 52%

Endgame

73.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6081, 4967, 7809

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6081, 4967, 7809

Auto

54.9 22%

Teleop

133.8 54%

Endgame

58.6 24%

Strengths

· 4967 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score237.4pts

Blue projected score248.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.4
Score range: 209–277
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 504 vs event baseline 157.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

462.4Season APEX293.6

40.2Auto54.9

125.8Teleop133.8

73.7Endgame58.6

0Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	42
teleop	171	91
endgame	64	83
foul	0	0
total	288	216

Result

Final score

288 – 216

Prediction missed · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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