FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

198.88 – 104.71

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

133 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 61.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.2 ±12.4

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 22.78Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 162.36Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 13.74Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.1 ±12.7

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 65.55Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -8Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 47.16Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7808, 10633, 7256

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7808, 10633, 7256

Auto

50.6 25%

Teleop

103.5 52%

Endgame

45.6 23%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2771, 3234, 9756

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2771, 3234, 9756

Auto

29.1 31%

Teleop

46.0 48%

Endgame

20.2 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score198.9pts

Blue projected score104.7pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.2
Score range: 77–227
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 158.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.2Season APEX262.1

50.6Auto29.1

103.5Teleop46

45.6Endgame20.2

9Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	19
teleop	46	110
endgame	65	33
foul	15	0
total	133	162

Result

Final score

133 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 61.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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