FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

142.04 – 233.04

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 72.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.4 ±12.8

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 54.02Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 53.62Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX 34.4Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.7 ±11.1

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 193.71Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 12.03Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 27.3Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8767, 9638, 904

/ 100 compat

Projected

142 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8767, 9638, 904

Auto

36.6 26%

Teleop

75.8 54%

Endgame

27.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3620, 9685, 10642

/ 100 compat

Projected

233 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3620, 9685, 10642

Auto

37.5 17%

Teleop

98.3 44%

Endgame

88.2 39%

Strengths

· 3620 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142pts

Blue projected score233pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91
Score range: 113–262
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 268 vs event baseline 159.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.4Season APEX362.7

36.6Auto37.5

75.8Teleop98.3

27.8Endgame88.2

52Consistency197

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	49
teleop	3	152
endgame	8	51
foul	0	0
total	16	252

Result

Final score

16 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 72.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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