FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

114.55 – 394.77

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

124 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 9.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.4 ±12.7

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 58.53Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 70.06Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX -14.04Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 643.9 ±8.7

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 153.95Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 101.53Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 139.29Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5980, 4325, 11399

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5980, 4325, 11399

Auto

17.9 15%

Teleop

58.5 50%

Endgame

40.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1023, 5166, 7220

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1023, 5166, 7220

Auto

65.6 17%

Teleop

242.4 62%

Endgame

82.4 21%

Strengths

· 1023 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.6pts

Blue projected score394.8pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -280.2
Score range: 87–423
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 509 vs event baseline 155.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.4Season APEX643.9

17.9Auto65.6

58.5Teleop242.4

40.5Endgame82.4

0Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	74
teleop	84	245
endgame	22	66
foul	0	0
total	124	385

Result

Final score

124 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 9.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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