Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
39.75 – 141.84
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
33 – 152
Prediction correct · off by 8.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 184 ±12.7
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX -4.86Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 5.1Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62Event APEX 39.51Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282 ±12.1
Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 66.17Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 62.32Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 13.35Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7221, 9671, 10181
36
/ 100 compatProjected
39.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7221, 9671, 10181
Auto
18.0 42%
Teleop
14.5 33%
Endgame
10.8 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7656, 6081, 9208
59
/ 100 compatProjected
141.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7656, 6081, 9208
Auto
30.7 22%
Teleop
88.8 64%
Endgame
20.3 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score39.8pts
Blue projected score141.8pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102.1
- Score range
- 12–170
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
184Season APEX282
18Auto30.7
14.5Teleop88.8
10.8Endgame20.3
186Consistency97
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 45 |
| teleop | 7 | 64 |
| endgame | 17 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 33 | 152 |
Result
Final score
33 – 152
Prediction correct · off by 8.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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