FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.94 – 65.99

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 16 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.9 ±13.9

8285Bionic Bulldogs

Season APEX 33Event APEX 14.9Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 17.22Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 29.82Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.8 ±13.3

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 18.53Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX -1.83Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 49.29Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8285, 5256, 9549

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8285, 5256, 9549

Auto

8.3 15%

Teleop

31.7 58%

Endgame

15.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9206, 9566, 7289

/ 100 compat

Projected

66 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9206, 9566, 7289

Auto

12.2 19%

Teleop

12.1 19%

Endgame

38.3 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.9pts

Blue projected score66pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4
Score range: 33–95
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 104 vs event baseline 162.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.9Season APEX164.8

8.3Auto12.2

31.7Teleop12.1

15Endgame38.3

96Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	19
teleop	13	18
endgame	15	33
foul	0	0
total	34	70

Result

Final score

34 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 16 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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