Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
85.6 – 190.64
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
56 – 109
Prediction correct · off by 55.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.7 ±12.7
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 7.95Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99Event APEX 58.44Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 19.21Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 155.11Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 43.31Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -7.78Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9671, 9756, 7658
44
/ 100 compatProjected
85.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9671, 9756, 7658
Auto
18.9 22%
Teleop
45.2 53%
Endgame
21.2 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7220, 9685, 10664
68
/ 100 compatProjected
190.6 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7220, 9685, 10664
Auto
54.8 29%
Teleop
91.7 49%
Endgame
40.8 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score85.6pts
Blue projected score190.6pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -105
- Score range
- 55–222
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
218.7Season APEX389.7
18.9Auto54.8
45.2Teleop91.7
21.2Endgame40.8
16Consistency42
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 47 |
| teleop | 27 | 19 |
| endgame | 9 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 56 | 109 |
Result
Final score
56 – 109
Prediction correct · off by 55.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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