FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

219.74 – 243.84

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

159 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.4 ±11.1

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 109.48Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 67.78Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 42.48Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.5 ±11.7

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 53.25Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7221Viking Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 23.35Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 167.24Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5166, 9756, 10642

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5166, 9756, 10642

Auto

23.2 11%

Teleop

120.8 56%

Endgame

73.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7656, 7221, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7656, 7221, 1023

Auto

32.0 13%

Teleop

120.6 49%

Endgame

91.3 37%

Strengths

· 1023 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score219.7pts

Blue projected score243.8pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -24.1
Score range: 192–272
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 360 vs event baseline 157.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

312.4Season APEX385.5

23.2Auto32

120.8Teleop120.6

73Endgame91.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	40
teleop	74	150
endgame	46	11
foul	5	0
total	159	201

Result

Final score

159 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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