FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

158.23 – 234.5

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

169 – 13

Prediction missed · off by 116.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.3 ±12.4

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 45.36Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -2.11Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 114.98Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.5 ±13.3

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 90.65Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 99.66Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 44.19Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7289, 10664, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7289, 10664, 10633

Auto

43.4 30%

Teleop

53.0 37%

Endgame

48.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5256, 9638, 9566

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5256, 9638, 9566

Auto

44.1 19%

Teleop

126.5 54%

Endgame

63.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score158.2pts

Blue projected score234.5pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.3
Score range: 129–264
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 162.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.3Season APEX195.5

43.4Auto44.1

53Teleop126.5

48.7Endgame63.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	11
teleop	89	0
endgame	20	2
foul	0	0
total	169	13

Result

Final score

169 – 13

Prediction missed · off by 116.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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