FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139 – 101.16

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 134

Prediction missed · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.1 ±12.4

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX 41.8Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 90.39Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 6.81Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.3 ±12.1

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 4.62Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 83.39Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 13.15Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 904, 2075, 7818

/ 100 compat

Projected

139 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 904, 2075, 7818

Auto

37.7 28%

Teleop

58.1 43%

Endgame

38.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8423, 5980, 9208

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8423, 5980, 9208

Auto

20.9 20%

Teleop

65.1 63%

Endgame

17.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139pts

Blue projected score101.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.8
Score range: 71–169
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 167.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.1Season APEX254.3

37.7Auto20.9

58.1Teleop65.1

38.6Endgame17.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	31
teleop	14	76
endgame	0	27
foul	0	0
total	58	134

Result

Final score

58 – 134

Prediction missed · off by 56.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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