Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
187.99 – 94.24
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
157 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 18.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 62Event APEX 45.36Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -12.92Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 155.55Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.1 ±12.7
Season APEX 33Event APEX 29.34Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 72.69Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX -7.79Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10181, 3234, 4967
71
/ 100 compatProjected
188 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10181, 3234, 4967
Auto
35.4 19%
Teleop
116.0 62%
Endgame
36.0 19%
Strengths
- · 4967 anchors offense
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8285, 4325, 9671
53
/ 100 compatProjected
94.2 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8285, 4325, 9671
Auto
25.6 28%
Teleop
42.8 47%
Endgame
23.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score188pts
Blue projected score94.2pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 93.8
- Score range
- 63–219
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
260.6Season APEX160.1
35.4Auto25.6
116Teleop42.8
36Endgame23.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 19 |
| teleop | 87 | 56 |
| endgame | 38 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 157 | 88 |
Result
Final score
157 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 18.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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