FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.34 – 189.04

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

157 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252 ±12.8

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 38.43Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 55.72Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -5.81Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.1 ±12.2

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 64.07Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 64.98Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 59.99Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7809, 3875, 7658

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7809, 3875, 7658

Auto

16.4 18%

Teleop

45.7 51%

Endgame

27.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 858, 2771, 9549

/ 100 compat

Projected

189 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 858, 2771, 9549

Auto

31.5 17%

Teleop

100.2 53%

Endgame

56.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.3pts

Blue projected score189pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -100.7
Score range: 58–219
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 169.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252Season APEX268.1

16.4Auto31.5

45.7Teleop100.2

27.7Endgame56.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	31
teleop	89	129
endgame	50	56
foul	0	5
total	157	221

Result

Final score

157 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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