FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

103.96 – 84.27

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

364 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 140.7 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 540.4 ±9.9

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 24.1Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 17.86Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140 ±13.9

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 62Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8285Bionic Bulldogs

Season APEX 33Event APEX 34.34Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -12.07Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2075, 1023, 5980

/ 100 compat

Projected

104 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2075, 1023, 5980

Auto

21.7 21%

Teleop

40.8 39%

Endgame

41.4 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7289, 8285, 3234

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7289, 8285, 3234

Auto

10.7 13%

Teleop

41.2 48%

Endgame

33.5 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104pts

Blue projected score84.3pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.7
Score range: 52–136
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 427 vs event baseline 179.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

540.4Season APEX140

21.7Auto10.7

40.8Teleop41.2

41.4Endgame33.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	18
teleop	206	11
endgame	93	14
foul	0	20
total	364	63

Result

Final score

364 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 140.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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