FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.71 – 125.69

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.8 ±12.7

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 45.14Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 19.43Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 43.14Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.5 ±12.2

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 81.23Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 45.14Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX -0.68Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10181, 7818, 6081

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10181, 7818, 6081

Auto

20.6 19%

Teleop

50.6 48%

Endgame

35.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9638, 858, 9208

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9638, 858, 9208

Auto

26.0 21%

Teleop

67.3 53%

Endgame

33.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.7pts

Blue projected score125.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18
Score range: 75–159
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 181.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

189.8Season APEX253.5

20.6Auto26

50.6Teleop67.3

35.1Endgame33

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	47
teleop	42	110
endgame	37	47
foul	5	0
total	113	204

Result

Final score

113 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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