Qualification · Qualification 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
121.62 – 258.95
15%85%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
158 – 305
Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 89.85Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62Event APEX 11.6Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33Event APEX 20.17Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 159.9Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 10.85Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 88.2Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 858, 10181, 8285
47
/ 100 compatProjected
121.6 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 858, 10181, 8285
Auto
19.2 16%
Teleop
53.5 45%
Endgame
46.1 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3620, 7256, 2771
83
/ 100 compatProjected
259 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3620, 7256, 2771
Auto
40.9 16%
Teleop
154.2 60%
Endgame
60.8 24%
Strengths
- · 3620 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score121.6pts
Blue projected score259pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -137.3
- Score range
- 91–290
- Upset likelihood
- 15%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
195.1Season APEX408.2
19.2Auto40.9
53.5Teleop154.2
46.1Endgame60.8
20Consistency67
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 50 |
| teleop | 83 | 176 |
| endgame | 52 | 79 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 158 | 305 |
Result
Final score
158 – 305
Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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