FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.77 – 217.55

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

336 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.7 ±9.9

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -6.14Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 154.66Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 172.25Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356 ±9.8

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 29.1Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 90.99Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 97.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10642, 7220, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10642, 7220, 10633

Auto

69.5 22%

Teleop

179.0 57%

Endgame

67.1 21%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8767, 858, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8767, 858, 5166

Auto

36.1 17%

Teleop

110.0 52%

Endgame

65.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score320.8pts

Blue projected score217.6pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 103.2
Score range: 187–352
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 171.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.7Season APEX356

69.5Auto36.1

179Teleop110

67.1Endgame65.7

0Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	24
teleop	211	101
endgame	74	51
foul	0	0
total	336	176

Result

Final score

336 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts

Match videos

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