FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

355.37 – 217.19

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 222

Prediction missed · off by 102.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.7 ±9.9

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 4.61Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 166.46Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 184.3Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356 ±9.8

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 29.3Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 91.8Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 96.09Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10642, 7220, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10642, 7220, 10633

Auto

75.1 22%

Teleop

193.4 55%

Endgame

80.1 23%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8767, 858, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8767, 858, 5166

Auto

35.7 17%

Teleop

111.0 52%

Endgame

67.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score355.4pts

Blue projected score217.2pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 138.2
Score range: 186–386
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 377 vs event baseline 171.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.7Season APEX356

75.1Auto35.7

193.4Teleop111

80.1Endgame67.9

3Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	37
teleop	93	73
endgame	5	72
foul	0	40
total	155	222

Result

Final score

155 – 222

Prediction missed · off by 102.6 pts

Match videos

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