FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

361.73 – 193.43

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

355 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 564.6 ±9.3

68Truck Town Thunder

Season APEX 238.1Event APEX 144.96Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6085Green Devil Bots

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 23.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 193.13Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366.4 ±11.1

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 99.55Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5167Vi-Bots

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 18.07Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5561Raider Robotics

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 75.81Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 68, 6085, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

361.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 68, 6085, 2337

Auto

60.0 17%

Teleop

229.6 65%

Endgame

65.5 18%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1684, 5167, 5561

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1684, 5167, 5561

Auto

32.2 17%

Teleop

105.5 55%

Endgame

54.0 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score361.7pts

Blue projected score193.4pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.3
Score range: 170–385
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 567 vs event baseline 130.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

564.6Season APEX366.4

60Auto32.2

229.6Teleop105.5

65.5Endgame54

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	22
teleop	210	125
endgame	72	50
foul	0	15
total	355	212

Result

Final score

355 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.