FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

255.7 – 42.59

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

234 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 14.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 367.9 ±12.4

5612Robo-Raptors

Season APEX 81Event APEX 70.03Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 190.95Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10665Unibots

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -5.28Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.4 ±12.7

8193Steel Stingers

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 1.56Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10587Windover Wing Nuts

Season APEX 51Event APEX 5.51Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9648Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 35.52Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5612, 2337, 10665

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5612, 2337, 10665

Auto

42.9 17%

Teleop

156.4 62%

Endgame

52.9 21%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8193, 10587, 9648

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8193, 10587, 9648

Auto

6.8 20%

Teleop

7.6 23%

Endgame

18.8 57%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score255.7pts

Blue projected score42.6pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 213.1
Score range: 20–279
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 127.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

367.9Season APEX169.4

42.9Auto6.8

156.4Teleop7.6

52.9Endgame18.8

35Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	18
teleop	138	23
endgame	45	8
foul	0	0
total	234	49

Result

Final score

234 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 14.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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