FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

6.34 – 99.04

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 18.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.3 ±12.8

10665Unibots

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -6.8Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6085Green Devil Bots

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 14.55Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5517The Engineers on Fire

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -1.41Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175 ±13.3

5697Bearcats

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 27.18Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 41.71Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6610Robot Roll Call

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 30.15Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10665, 6085, 5517

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10665, 6085, 5517

Auto

3.1 22%

Teleop

11.7 81%

Endgame

-0.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5697, 9242, 6610

/ 100 compat

Projected

99 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5697, 9242, 6610

Auto

21.6 24%

Teleop

48.5 54%

Endgame

20.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score6.3pts

Blue projected score99pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.7
Score range: -17–122
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 126.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

174.3Season APEX175

3.1Auto21.6

11.7Teleop48.5

-0.4Endgame20.2

39Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	26
teleop	16	25
endgame	12	19
foul	0	20
total	35	90

Result

Final score

35 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 18.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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