Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
118.85 – 57.83
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
281 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 83 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.6 ±11.1
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 80.29Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.9Event APEX -Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.4Event APEX -Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 50.5Event APEX -Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX -Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.2Event APEX -Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2337, 5235, 9242
69
/ 100 compatProjected
118.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2337, 5235, 9242
Auto
24.4 21%
Teleop
69.8 59%
Endgame
24.6 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11527, 6610, 9207
50
/ 100 compatProjected
57.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 11527, 6610, 9207
Auto
17.4 30%
Teleop
28.9 50%
Endgame
11.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score118.8pts
Blue projected score57.8pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 61
- Score range
- 37–140
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
380.6Season APEX161.6
12.9Auto-
50.6Teleop-
16.9Endgame-
0Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 9 |
| teleop | 177 | 27 |
| endgame | 56 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 281 | 54 |
Result
Final score
281 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 83 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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