FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

156.21 – 35.22

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

151 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 11 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.5 ±12.8

5697Bearcats

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 26.87Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5660Symmetrical Chaos

Season APEX 180.3Event APEX 107.53Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 21.81Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.1 ±12.2

8193Steel Stingers

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 1.4Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11458Mechcats

Season APEX 39Event APEX 12.15Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 21.67Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5697, 5660, 11527

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5697, 5660, 11527

Auto

25.3 17%

Teleop

91.4 61%

Endgame

33.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8193, 11458, 8767

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8193, 11458, 8767

Auto

6.7 19%

Teleop

11.5 33%

Endgame

16.3 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score156.2pts

Blue projected score35.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121
Score range: 12–179
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 127.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.5Season APEX196.1

25.3Auto6.7

91.4Teleop11.5

33.1Endgame16.3

0Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	10
teleop	75	18
endgame	35	19
foul	20	5
total	151	52

Result

Final score

151 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 11 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.