FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

112.58 – 22.71

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288 ±12.8

10587Windover Wing Nuts

Season APEX 51Event APEX 18.76Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9697Bionic Bucs

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX -4.16Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5660Symmetrical Chaos

Season APEX 180.3Event APEX 97.98Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.9 ±13.9

5282Railroader Robotics

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 9.88Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7597Team HorsePowered

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 10.75Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5517The Engineers on Fire

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 2.08Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10587, 9697, 5660

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10587, 9697, 5660

Auto

14.0 13%

Teleop

62.1 57%

Endgame

32.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5282, 7597, 5517

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5282, 7597, 5517

Auto

16.3 65%

Teleop

8.8 35%

Endgame

0.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.6pts

Blue projected score22.7pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.9
Score range: 0–136
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 127.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288Season APEX158.9

14Auto16.3

62.1Teleop8.8

32.8Endgame0.1

31Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	18
teleop	90	0
endgame	26	9
foul	5	0
total	141	27

Result

Final score

141 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.