FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

3.83 – 351.46

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 115.7 ±13.3

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX -16Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5167Vi-Bots

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX -0.66Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7784Vassar Voltage

Season APEX 47Event APEX 20.49Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479.4 ±9.8

894The Power Chargers

Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 122.95Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 200.63Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 27.88Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10659, 5167, 7784

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.8 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10659, 5167, 7784

Auto

4.9 0%

Teleop

-10.5 100%

Endgame

1.3 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 894, 2337, 8767

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 894, 2337, 8767

Auto

57.6 17%

Teleop

217.3 63%

Endgame

72.1 21%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score3.8pts

Blue projected score351.5pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -347.6
Score range: -19–374
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 125.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

115.7Season APEX479.4

4.9Auto57.6

-10.5Teleop217.3

1.3Endgame72.1

89Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	54
teleop	6	208
endgame	0	96
foul	15	0
total	32	358

Result

Final score

32 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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