Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
220.4 – 86.14
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
279 – 137
Prediction correct · off by 54.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 2.58Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 16.78Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 201.04Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -13.44Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 19.74Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.2Event APEX 79.84Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6085, 10547, 2337
85
/ 100 compatProjected
220.4 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6085, 10547, 2337
Auto
40.1 18%
Teleop
129.2 59%
Endgame
48.7 22%
Strengths
- · 2337 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10665, 8767, 9757
42
/ 100 compatProjected
86.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10665, 8767, 9757
Auto
6.0 7%
Teleop
38.8 46%
Endgame
40.1 47%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.83
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score220.4pts
Blue projected score86.1pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 134.3
- Score range
- 64–242
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
378.4Season APEX352.1
40.1Auto6
129.2Teleop38.8
48.7Endgame40.1
122Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 6 |
| teleop | 187 | 83 |
| endgame | 52 | 48 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 279 | 137 |
Result
Final score
279 – 137
Prediction correct · off by 54.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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