FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

6.37 – 95.51

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.6 ±13.9

5517The Engineers on Fire

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 21.44Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5612Robo-Raptors

Season APEX 81Event APEX 32.5Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX -47.57Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.6 ±11.7

9757Mecha Marauders

Season APEX 220.2Event APEX 78.83Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5235Gears of Fortune

Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 29.82Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX -13.14Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5517, 5612, 10659

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5517, 5612, 10659

Auto

-3.8 0%

Teleop

3.5 45%

Endgame

8.0 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9757, 5235, 11527

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9757, 5235, 11527

Auto

16.8 17%

Teleop

46.1 48%

Endgame

34.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score6.4pts

Blue projected score95.5pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.1
Score range: -15–117
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 118.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

164.6Season APEX327.6

-3.8Auto16.8

3.5Teleop46.1

8Endgame34.1

139Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	17
teleop	46	62
endgame	18	44
foul	0	0
total	76	123

Result

Final score

76 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.