Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
126.94 – 69.41
67%33%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
199 – 123
Prediction correct · off by 62.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 208.5Event APEX 16.79Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 23.62Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 86.53Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 41.84Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 258.7Event APEX -6.07Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 33.64Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 70, 6610, 894
75
/ 100 compatProjected
126.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 70, 6610, 894
Auto
30.0 24%
Teleop
68.0 54%
Endgame
27.4 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8385, 494, 5235
55
/ 100 compatProjected
69.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8385, 494, 5235
Auto
17.3 23%
Teleop
39.3 53%
Endgame
17.1 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score126.9pts
Blue projected score69.4pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 57.5
- Score range
- 49–147
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
398.2Season APEX369.9
30Auto17.3
68Teleop39.3
27.4Endgame17.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 23 |
| teleop | 139 | 68 |
| endgame | 31 | 32 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 199 | 123 |
Result
Final score
199 – 123
Prediction correct · off by 62.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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