FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.19 – 136.28

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 27.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.7 ±12.7

9648Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 43.58Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 2.67Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5167Vi-Bots

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX -18.06Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.7 ±12.2

5660Symmetrical Chaos

Season APEX 180.3Event APEX 48.44Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 68.45Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7784Vassar Voltage

Season APEX 47Event APEX 19.39Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9648, 11527, 5167

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9648, 11527, 5167

Auto

7.3 27%

Teleop

10.1 38%

Endgame

9.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5660, 9242, 7784

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5660, 9242, 7784

Auto

21.9 16%

Teleop

81.9 62%

Endgame

29.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28.2pts

Blue projected score136.3pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108.1
Score range: 7–157
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 116.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.7Season APEX303.7

7.3Auto21.9

10.1Teleop81.9

9.5Endgame29

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	17
teleop	28	99
endgame	14	27
foul	0	25
total	51	168

Result

Final score

51 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 27.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.