FIM District Kearsley Event presented by BAE Systems

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.45 – 69.23

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

282 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 72.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.4 ±11.7

7597Team HorsePowered

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 6.27Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5561Raider Robotics

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 32.24Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 130.94Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.5 ±12.8

6085Green Devil Bots

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX -15.89Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7772The Lucky 7's

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 23.84Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5697Bearcats

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 61.28Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7597, 5561, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7597, 5561, 2337

Auto

24.9 15%

Teleop

109.8 66%

Endgame

30.7 19%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6085, 7772, 5697

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6085, 7772, 5697

Auto

12.9 19%

Teleop

36.2 53%

Endgame

18.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.5pts

Blue projected score69.2pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.2
Score range: 49–189
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 113.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.4Season APEX182.5

24.9Auto12.9

109.8Teleop36.2

30.7Endgame18.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	20
teleop	177	16
endgame	39	0
foul	5	0
total	282	36

Result

Final score

282 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 72.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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